The recovery is likely to continue during the economic forecast period. However, the growth pace will probably remain slow due to the challenging international environment and existing structural issues. After two years of recession, IHS forecasts GDP to rise by 0.1 % this year and 1.0 % in the coming year. The increase in consumer prices is likely to remain high at 2.9 % in the current year but fall to 1.9 % in 2026. The unemployment rate is expected to rise to an annual average of 7.5 % in 2025 and then fall slightly to 7.3 % the following year. The erratic US tariff policy and geopolitical tensions pose significant risks to the forecast.