Autumn Forecast of the Austrian Economy 2022–2023

Stagflation due to distortions in energy markets

The severe rise in inflation, exacerbated by the war against Ukraine, and high uncertainty weigh on the global economy.

However, due to extremely strong growth in the first half of the year, the Austrian economy is expected to expand by 4.7% this year. For the coming year, growth of only 0.3% is expected. Driven by high energy prices, and in line with international developments, the domestic inflation rate is expected to average 8.5% this year and remain very high at 6.8% next year. The unemployment rate is expected to rise from 6.4% this year to 6.7% next year. Fiscal policy remains expansionary, but IHS believes that additional burdens on the budget should be avoided.

About the economic forecast at IHS